Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-2
Bursaspor vs Finn Harps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bursaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
BUR
0 - 0
GOZ
51%
29%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
BJK
3 - 1
BUR
57%
26%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
GOZ
1 - 2
BUR
55%
27%
18%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1974 |
FEN
3 - 0
BUR
78%
14%
8%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
BUR
0 - 0
GAL
38%
32%
31%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
FIN
1 - 3
ABE
18%
22%
60%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
ABE
4 - 1
FIN
88%
8%
4%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |