3. Lig Semi-finals
Global 1-4
1923 Mustafakemalpaşa vs Arnavutkoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1923 Mustafakemalpaşa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2022 |
ABF
3 - 1
BUR
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
HEN
0 - 1
BUR
19%
24%
58%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
BUR
0 - 1
ELA
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
NSG
1 - 4
BUR
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
BUR
4 - 1
KAH
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arnavutkoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2022 |
ABF
3 - 1
BUR
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
BAT
2 - 1
ABF
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ABF
3 - 1
HEN
68%
19%
12%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ELA
2 - 1
ABF
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ABF
1 - 0
NSG
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |