Burreli vs Lushnja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
7º
12º
8º
38
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burreli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KRU
3 - 1
BUR
64%
21%
14%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 0
BUR
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 1
BES
37%
28%
36%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LUZ
2 - 1
BUR
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
BUR
1 - 0
BYL
13%
24%
63%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Lushnja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 0
BES
45%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LUZ
4 - 0
LUS
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 2
BYL
21%
26%
53%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ELB
3 - 1
LUS
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
4 - 3
VOR
25%
24%
52%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |