Burreli vs Valbona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
3º
10º
10º
4
7º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 40 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 40 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 37 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 32 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 31 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 29 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 29 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 29 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 29 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
8 | 25 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 24 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
21.5% | 37% |
|
Mid-table
|
19.5% | 21% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
27% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
27.5% | 17% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burreli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 2
BUR
61%
23%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 1
APO
22%
27%
51%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +3 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
KOR
2 - 3
BUR
64%
22%
14%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 0
LUS
24%
26%
50%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KRU
3 - 1
BUR
64%
21%
14%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Valbona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 2
BES
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 1
POG
38%
25%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
KFV
5 - 1
MUR
83%
11%
6%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NAF
0 - 5
KFV
11%
16%
74%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
KFV
1 - 0
ILI
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |