Burreli vs Gramozi Ersekë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burreli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
GRA
5 - 4
BUR
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 1
ILI
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
BES
2 - 1
BUR
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
ELB
2 - 1
BUR
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 0
BUT
55%
25%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gramozi Ersekë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 1
BUT
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LUS
3 - 1
GRA
71%
19%
10%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 3
LUF
20%
26%
55%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
BES
7 - 0
GRA
68%
20%
12%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 1
SKR
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |