Burreli vs Erzeni Shijak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
5º
4º
8
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 31 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 28 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 28 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 21 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burreli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
APO
1 - 1
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
BUR
4 - 0
SOP
50%
26%
25%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BES
3 - 0
BUR
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BUR
1 - 0
LUS
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
KRU
2 - 1
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Erzeni Shijak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ERZ
0 - 0
BES
29%
25%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
ERZ
1 - 0
NAF
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 0
ERZ
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ERZ
2 - 3
KRU
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
POG
1 - 0
ERZ
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |