Burreli vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
60.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
7º
12º
8º
46
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burreli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 0
BUR
63%
22%
15%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 0
BUR
71%
19%
11%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 0
VOR
15%
21%
65%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
KRU
0 - 0
BUR
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 2
BYL
13%
24%
63%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
APO
0 - 1
ELB
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
APO
2 - 1
LUZ
66%
20%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BES
0 - 0
APO
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
APO
2 - 2
KOR
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
APO
4 - 1
LUS
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |