Burnley U18 vs Derby County U18 analysis

Burnley U18 Derby County U18
25 ELO 26
-7.2% Tilt -0.1%
5212º General ELO ranking 6229º
245º Country ELO ranking 319º
ELO win probability
35.7%
Burnley U18
22.7%
Draw
41.6%
Derby County U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
Burnley U18
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
41.6%
Win probability
Derby County U18
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Burnley U18
+55%
-8%
Derby County U18

ELO progression

Burnley U18
Derby County U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Burnley U18
Burnley U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2021
MID
Middlesbrough U18
4 - 1
Burnley U18
BUR
56%
21%
23%
26 27 1 0
24 Apr. 2021
MCI
Man. City U18
2 - 0
Burnley U18
BUR
82%
12%
7%
26 43 17 0
20 Apr. 2021
BUR
Burnley U18
1 - 1
Liverpool U18
LIV
16%
18%
66%
25 37 12 +1
27 Mar. 2021
BUR
Burnley U18
0 - 1
Stoke City U18
STO
56%
21%
24%
27 24 3 -2
20 Mar. 2021
BUR
Burnley U18
2 - 0
Newcastle U18
NEW
67%
17%
16%
26 20 6 +1

Matches

Derby County U18
Derby County U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2021
LIV
Liverpool U18
3 - 0
Derby County U18
DER
69%
17%
15%
27 37 10 0
24 Apr. 2021
DER
Derby County U18
5 - 0
Leeds United U18
LEE
68%
17%
15%
27 20 7 0
17 Apr. 2021
BLA
Blackburn Rovers U18
3 - 0
Derby County U18
DER
23%
21%
56%
28 21 7 -1
10 Apr. 2021
DER
Derby County U18
2 - 1
Everton U18
EVE
49%
21%
29%
28 27 1 0
06 Apr. 2021
LEE
Leeds United U18
4 - 3
Derby County U18
DER
17%
19%
64%
29 19 10 -1