Burnley vs Wimbledon FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
CAR
2 - 0
BUR
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
BUR
2 - 3
WAT
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
WAL
0 - 1
BUR
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
BUR
3 - 5
NOR
43%
26%
32%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
BRA
1 - 2
BUR
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Wimbledon FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
BRA
2 - 3
WIM
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
SHE
2 - 1
WIM
72%
18%
11%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
WIM
3 - 3
PNE
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
WIM
1 - 2
SUN
18%
25%
57%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
WIG
0 - 1
WIM
64%
21%
14%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +1 |