Burnley vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2003 |
BUR
0 - 2
BRA
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
BUR
1 - 1
GRI
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
BUR
1 - 2
LEI
40%
26%
35%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
WAL
3 - 2
BUR
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
SHE
4 - 2
BUR
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
SHW
2 - 2
WAT
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
WAT
1 - 2
STO
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
WAT
0 - 1
GIL
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
GRI
1 - 0
WAT
34%
27%
40%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
WAT
2 - 0
BUR
40%
25%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +2 |