FA Cup 1/16
Global 4-1
Burnley vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
38.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
SUN
3 - 1
BUR
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1978 |
BUR
0 - 0
CAR
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1978 |
BUR
2 - 1
BBU
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1978 |
NEW
3 - 1
BUR
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
BUR
2 - 0
BRO
63%
21%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1979 |
WHU
3 - 3
SUN
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
SUN
3 - 1
BUR
56%
24%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1979 |
FUL
2 - 2
SUN
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1979 |
BBU
1 - 1
SUN
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1978 |
SUN
1 - 1
LEI
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |