Burnley vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1969 |
TOT
4 - 0
BUR
65%
19%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1969 |
DER
0 - 0
BUR
44%
23%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1969 |
BUR
1 - 2
SUN
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1969 |
MUD
2 - 0
BUR
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1969 |
BUR
2 - 0
SHW
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1969 |
CRY
2 - 0
SUN
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1969 |
SUN
0 - 0
COV
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1969 |
LEI
2 - 1
SUN
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1969 |
BUR
1 - 2
SUN
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1969 |
SUN
2 - 0
WOL
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |