Burnley vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1952 |
ASV
4 - 1
BUR
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1952 |
BUR
0 - 1
DER
44%
25%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1952 |
MAC
0 - 1
BUR
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1952 |
BBU
3 - 1
BUR
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1952 |
BUR
0 - 1
ARS
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1952 |
SUN
0 - 0
PNE
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1952 |
TOT
2 - 0
SUN
63%
18%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1952 |
SUN
1 - 2
MUD
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1952 |
STO
1 - 1
SUN
41%
24%
36%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1952 |
WOL
0 - 3
SUN
65%
18%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |