Burnley vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1949 |
ARS
0 - 1
BUR
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1949 |
BPO
1 - 1
BUR
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
BUR
0 - 2
LIV
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1949 |
SHE
0 - 0
BUR
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1949 |
DER
2 - 0
BUR
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1949 |
LIV
4 - 2
SUN
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1949 |
SUN
1 - 1
BIR
58%
23%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
CHL
0 - 1
SUN
57%
21%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1949 |
SUN
1 - 0
CHA
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1949 |
MUD
1 - 2
SUN
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |