Burnley vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
24.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1928 |
CAR
3 - 2
BUR
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1928 |
BUR
3 - 5
EVE
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1928 |
HUR
1 - 2
BUR
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1928 |
BUR
2 - 2
TOT
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1928 |
MUD
4 - 3
BUR
41%
23%
36%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1928 |
MID
0 - 3
SUN
51%
21%
28%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1928 |
SUN
2 - 3
SHW
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1928 |
MUD
2 - 1
SUN
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1928 |
CAR
3 - 1
SUN
46%
24%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1928 |
SHE
5 - 1
SUN
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |