Burnley vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
22.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1928 |
BUR
5 - 3
SHE
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1928 |
BCF
2 - 0
BUR
53%
20%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1928 |
LIV
2 - 2
BUR
60%
20%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1927 |
BUR
3 - 1
BBU
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1927 |
BUR
5 - 1
LEI
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1928 |
SUN
1 - 2
MAC
70%
15%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1928 |
LIV
2 - 5
SUN
58%
21%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1928 |
SUN
2 - 2
LEI
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1928 |
SUN
3 - 2
WHU
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1927 |
BIR
1 - 1
SUN
38%
24%
38%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |