Burnley vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1926 |
BBU
6 - 3
BUR
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1926 |
EVE
1 - 1
BUR
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1926 |
BUR
1 - 1
HUR
40%
24%
36%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1926 |
LIV
3 - 2
BUR
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1926 |
BUR
0 - 1
MUD
62%
20%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1926 |
EVE
2 - 1
SUN
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1926 |
SUN
3 - 2
LIV
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1926 |
SUN
2 - 2
NEW
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1926 |
MUD
2 - 1
SUN
39%
24%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1926 |
SUN
3 - 3
MUD
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |