Burnley vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1924 |
BIR
1 - 0
BUR
48%
26%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1924 |
BUR
1 - 1
LEE
71%
18%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1924 |
BUR
3 - 5
BBU
57%
22%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1924 |
BUR
0 - 0
EVE
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1924 |
PNE
0 - 2
BUR
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1924 |
BOL
1 - 2
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1924 |
SUN
4 - 1
TOT
65%
20%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1924 |
WBA
2 - 1
SUN
44%
24%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1924 |
SUN
4 - 0
BIR
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1924 |
SUN
2 - 0
PNE
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |