Burnley vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1924 |
BUR
3 - 1
SWI
80%
12%
8%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1924 |
SWI
1 - 1
BUR
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1924 |
BOL
0 - 0
BUR
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1924 |
BIR
2 - 1
BUR
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1924 |
MAC
2 - 2
BUR
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 2
SUN
27%
28%
44%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1924 |
SUN
1 - 0
NTT
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1924 |
SUN
0 - 0
LIV
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1924 |
SUN
2 - 0
ASV
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1924 |
ASV
0 - 1
SUN
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |