Burnley vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1921 |
BUR
3 - 1
BIR
76%
15%
10%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1921 |
SUN
3 - 2
BUR
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
BIR
2 - 3
BUR
42%
27%
30%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1921 |
TOT
2 - 0
BUR
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1921 |
BUR
2 - 2
SUN
62%
19%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1921 |
LIV
2 - 1
SUN
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1921 |
SUN
3 - 2
BUR
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
SUN
3 - 0
LIV
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1921 |
BUR
2 - 2
SUN
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1921 |
SUN
1 - 0
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |