Burnley vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
32.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1915 |
NEW
1 - 2
BUR
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1915 |
NOT
0 - 0
BUR
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1915 |
BUR
2 - 0
CHL
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
BUR
3 - 2
BBU
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1915 |
EVE
0 - 2
BUR
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1915 |
SUN
1 - 1
BRA
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1915 |
SUN
0 - 3
EVE
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1915 |
SHE
1 - 1
SUN
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
CHL
3 - 0
SUN
34%
24%
42%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1915 |
SUN
4 - 1
MID
66%
18%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |