Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 3-1
Burnley vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1966 |
MUD
4 - 1
BUR
60%
21%
19%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1966 |
STU
1 - 1
BUR
36%
25%
39%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1966 |
BUR
2 - 2
TOT
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1966 |
NEW
1 - 1
BUR
33%
25%
42%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1966 |
EVE
1 - 1
BUR
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1966 |
EIN
4 - 0
STU
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1966 |
STU
1 - 1
BUR
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1966 |
STU
1 - 2
EBT
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1966 |
KOL
3 - 1
STU
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
STU
2 - 0
MUN
29%
24%
47%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |