Burnley vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
MID
0 - 0
BUR
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
SHE
0 - 2
BUR
45%
26%
30%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 1
WAT
58%
24%
19%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 2
BUR
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 0
DER
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
STO
1 - 0
SUN
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
STO
0 - 2
LEE
24%
24%
52%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
SHW
2 - 0
STO
50%
26%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
STO
2 - 2
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
LUT
2 - 1
STO
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |