Burnley vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ARS
3 - 1
BUR
82%
13%
6%
|
76 | 93 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
BUR
1 - 2
OPA
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ASV
5 - 2
BUR
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
FUL
3 - 0
BUR
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
BUR
2 - 1
WHU
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CHL
2 - 0
STO
81%
14%
6%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
STO
1 - 3
ARS
17%
22%
61%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
STO
3 - 1
MAC
32%
27%
42%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
OPA
1 - 2
STO
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
STO
1 - 1
MAC
29%
26%
45%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |