Burnley vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 1
WOL
39%
24%
37%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
LEI
0 - 0
BUR
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
WIG
0 - 0
BUR
57%
24%
18%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
BUR
3 - 0
CRE
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 2
GIL
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
STO
0 - 0
NTT
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
STO
3 - 2
IPS
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
PNE
3 - 0
STO
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
STO
1 - 0
DER
59%
23%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 1
STO
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |