Burnley vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
BUR
3 - 0
BPO
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
DER
1 - 2
BUR
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
BUR
0 - 0
CRY
49%
24%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
REA
3 - 0
BUR
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
BUR
0 - 1
SHE
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
BCF
1 - 0
STO
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
DER
2 - 0
STO
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2002 |
STO
1 - 1
NOR
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
PNE
4 - 3
STO
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
STO
2 - 1
BRA
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |