Burnley vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1970 |
BUR
1 - 1
SOU
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1970 |
BUR
2 - 1
WBA
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1970 |
MUD
3 - 3
BUR
68%
20%
13%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1970 |
BUR
1 - 2
EVE
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1970 |
SHW
2 - 0
BUR
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1970 |
NEW
3 - 1
STO
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1970 |
CHL
1 - 0
STO
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1970 |
IPS
1 - 1
STO
48%
25%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1970 |
STO
2 - 2
MUD
32%
27%
42%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
TOT
1 - 0
STO
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |