Burnley vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1965 |
STO
3 - 1
BUR
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1965 |
BUR
4 - 2
LEI
60%
20%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1965 |
FUL
0 - 5
BUR
38%
24%
38%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1965 |
BUR
1 - 1
TOT
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1965 |
LIV
2 - 1
BUR
61%
20%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1965 |
STO
3 - 1
BUR
41%
24%
35%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1965 |
BPO
1 - 1
STO
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1965 |
STO
3 - 2
FUL
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1965 |
TOT
2 - 2
STO
75%
14%
10%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1965 |
STO
0 - 0
LIV
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |