Burnley vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1949 |
BIR
0 - 1
BUR
44%
27%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1949 |
SUN
2 - 1
BUR
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1949 |
BUR
2 - 1
BOL
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1949 |
BUR
2 - 2
SUN
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1949 |
ARS
0 - 1
BUR
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1949 |
DER
2 - 3
STO
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1949 |
LIV
1 - 1
STO
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1949 |
STO
3 - 1
BIR
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1949 |
STO
0 - 0
LIV
54%
22%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1949 |
BOL
4 - 0
STO
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |