Burnley vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1923 |
MAC
1 - 0
BUR
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1923 |
BUR
2 - 0
MAC
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1923 |
BOL
2 - 1
BUR
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1923 |
PNE
3 - 1
BUR
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1923 |
BUR
2 - 0
PNE
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1923 |
STO
1 - 1
ASV
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1923 |
ASV
6 - 0
STO
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1923 |
STO
4 - 2
PNE
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1923 |
PNE
4 - 2
STO
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1923 |
STO
4 - 1
EVE
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |