FA Cup 1/32
Global 3-3
Burnley vs Scunthorpe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2001 |
BUR
1 - 2
WOL
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2000 |
BAR
1 - 0
BUR
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
BUR
0 - 2
BOL
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
BUR
0 - 2
BBU
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
PNE
2 - 1
BUR
52%
24%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2001 |
SCU
2 - 2
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2000 |
LIN
1 - 1
SCU
43%
27%
31%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
SCU
1 - 1
CHE
49%
25%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
BAR
4 - 2
SCU
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
SCU
2 - 1
BHA
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |