Burnley vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
38.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
COV
1 - 0
BUR
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2006 |
BUR
0 - 1
WOL
38%
27%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
IPS
2 - 1
BUR
63%
21%
15%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
BUR
1 - 0
PLY
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2006 |
BHA
0 - 0
BUR
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
REA
2 - 1
PNE
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
LUT
3 - 2
REA
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2006 |
SHE
1 - 1
REA
43%
27%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
REA
2 - 0
SOU
52%
24%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
BIR
2 - 1
REA
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |