Burnley vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
STO
0 - 1
BUR
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 0
WIG
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
SUN
2 - 1
BUR
59%
25%
17%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
BUR
2 - 0
PNE
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
PLY
1 - 0
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
REA
1 - 1
SWA
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
REA
0 - 1
DER
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
GIL
0 - 0
REA
31%
26%
42%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
PNE
3 - 0
REA
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
REA
3 - 0
WAT
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |