FA Cup 1/32
Global 2-1
Burnley vs Queens Park Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
BUR
0 - 2
SWA
49%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2009 |
TOT
4 - 1
BUR
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
QPR
0 - 0
BUR
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
DON
2 - 1
BUR
29%
29%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
BUR
1 - 2
BAR
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Queens Park Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
QPR
1 - 1
COV
51%
25%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
QPR
0 - 0
BUR
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
QPR
0 - 0
WAT
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 2
QPR
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
QPR
3 - 2
PNE
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |