Burnley vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1959 |
NTT
1 - 2
BUR
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1959 |
BUR
3 - 1
BPO
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1959 |
BUR
1 - 0
WHU
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1959 |
WBA
2 - 4
BUR
65%
19%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1959 |
BBU
4 - 1
BUR
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1959 |
CHL
3 - 1
PNE
48%
22%
30%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1959 |
PNE
3 - 5
NTT
68%
18%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1959 |
NEW
1 - 2
PNE
46%
22%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1959 |
PNE
1 - 2
BBU
68%
17%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1959 |
BOL
2 - 1
PNE
48%
22%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |