Burnley vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1953 |
MUD
1 - 2
BUR
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1953 |
BUR
1 - 2
NEW
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1953 |
LIV
4 - 0
BUR
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1953 |
TOT
2 - 3
BUR
68%
17%
14%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1953 |
BUR
1 - 4
WBA
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1953 |
OPA
1 - 1
CAR
72%
17%
12%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1953 |
MAC
2 - 1
OPA
44%
23%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1953 |
OPA
4 - 1
SUN
58%
19%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1953 |
OPA
4 - 4
BPO
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1953 |
WOL
4 - 3
OPA
69%
16%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |