Burnley vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
15%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1927 |
WHU
2 - 0
BUR
59%
20%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1927 |
BUR
4 - 2
DER
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1927 |
SUN
2 - 3
BUR
68%
16%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1927 |
BUR
4 - 2
ASV
54%
22%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1927 |
SHE
5 - 2
BUR
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1927 |
OPA
2 - 3
ARS
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1927 |
LIV
8 - 2
OPA
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1927 |
OPA
2 - 0
LEI
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1927 |
OPA
3 - 0
TOT
45%
24%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1927 |
WHU
4 - 2
OPA
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |