Burnley vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2006 |
BHA
0 - 0
BUR
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
BUR
0 - 2
PNE
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
CAR
3 - 0
BUR
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
DER
2 - 1
BUR
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
QPR
1 - 1
BUR
41%
28%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2006 |
PLY
2 - 1
SOU
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
PLY
1 - 0
LEI
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
CRE
1 - 2
PLY
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
PLY
1 - 1
NOR
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
WOL
1 - 0
PLY
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |