Burnley vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
CRY
0 - 0
BUR
58%
25%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
BUR
0 - 3
IPS
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2008 |
BCF
0 - 2
BUR
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
SHW
4 - 1
BUR
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
CRY
5 - 0
BUR
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
OLD
4 - 0
CHE
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
LEE
0 - 2
OLD
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2008 |
ROC
0 - 0
OLD
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
OLD
4 - 3
MIL
59%
24%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
CRE
1 - 4
OLD
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |