Burnley vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
SCU
2 - 0
BUR
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
GRI
1 - 1
BUR
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
BUR
2 - 1
WBA
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
BUR
1 - 2
COV
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
SUN
3 - 2
BUR
64%
23%
13%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
OLD
0 - 1
BRO
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
CUM
1 - 0
OLD
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
OLD
4 - 1
MAN
62%
21%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
OLD
2 - 1
SWA
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
BPO
3 - 1
OLD
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |