Burnley vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1914 |
BRA
2 - 2
BUR
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1914 |
BUR
3 - 0
LIV
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1914 |
ASV
3 - 3
BUR
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1914 |
BUR
1 - 2
SHE
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1914 |
MID
1 - 1
BUR
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1914 |
OLD
1 - 0
BRA
60%
23%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1914 |
CHL
2 - 2
OLD
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1914 |
OLD
1 - 1
EVE
60%
23%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1914 |
WBA
0 - 0
OLD
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1914 |
OLD
5 - 2
SHW
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |