Burnley vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1919 |
BOL
1 - 1
BUR
58%
22%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1919 |
NOT
2 - 0
BUR
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1915 |
SHW
0 - 0
BUR
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1915 |
OLD
1 - 2
BUR
58%
23%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1915 |
BUR
2 - 1
SUN
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1919 |
SHE
3 - 0
NOT
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1919 |
NOT
2 - 0
BUR
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1915 |
NOT
2 - 0
CHL
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1915 |
NOT
1 - 0
NEW
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1915 |
NOT
0 - 0
BUR
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |