Burnley vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1925 |
LIV
3 - 0
BUR
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 3
NEW
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
BUR
5 - 4
WHU
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1925 |
BOL
5 - 0
BUR
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 4
TOT
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1925 |
NTT
0 - 1
PNE
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1925 |
CAR
2 - 0
NTT
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1925 |
NTT
1 - 1
SUN
24%
27%
49%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
EVE
3 - 1
NTT
75%
15%
10%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
NTT
2 - 3
SHE
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |