Burnley vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1922 |
BBU
2 - 1
BUR
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1922 |
BUR
3 - 1
BBU
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1922 |
BUR
0 - 0
NEW
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1922 |
NEW
0 - 2
BUR
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1922 |
BUR
2 - 0
LIV
61%
22%
18%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1922 |
EVE
4 - 2
NTT
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1922 |
NTT
2 - 1
EVE
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1922 |
PNE
2 - 2
NTT
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1922 |
NTT
3 - 0
PNE
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1922 |
NTT
1 - 1
BOL
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |