Burnley vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
STO
1 - 0
BUR
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
DER
3 - 0
BUR
58%
23%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
BUR
0 - 3
REA
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
COV
1 - 0
BUR
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2006 |
BUR
0 - 1
WOL
38%
27%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
NOR
2 - 1
SHE
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
LEE
2 - 2
NOR
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
NOR
2 - 1
STO
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
CRY
4 - 1
NOR
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
NOR
2 - 0
DER
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |