Burnley vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
BRA
1 - 2
BUR
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
NTT
1 - 1
BUR
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
COV
4 - 0
BUR
42%
26%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 1
PNE
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 1
WHU
32%
26%
43%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
NOR
1 - 0
STO
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
CRY
1 - 0
NOR
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
NOR
3 - 0
GIL
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
CAR
2 - 1
NOR
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
NOR
3 - 1
IPS
40%
27%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |