Burnley vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1957 |
CHL
6 - 1
BUR
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1957 |
NTT
7 - 0
BUR
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1957 |
BUR
3 - 1
BIR
56%
23%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1957 |
BUR
3 - 1
NTT
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1957 |
TOT
3 - 1
BUR
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1957 |
NEW
0 - 0
SHW
58%
20%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1957 |
SUN
2 - 0
NEW
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1957 |
OPA
2 - 2
NEW
55%
21%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1957 |
NEW
1 - 3
CHL
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1957 |
NEW
2 - 0
OPA
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |