Burnley vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
19.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1930 |
BIR
2 - 0
BUR
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1930 |
SHE
3 - 1
BUR
60%
19%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1930 |
BUR
1 - 1
LEI
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1930 |
SHW
4 - 1
BUR
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1930 |
ASV
1 - 2
BUR
65%
18%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1930 |
NEW
1 - 0
EVE
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1930 |
HUL
1 - 0
NEW
30%
24%
45%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1930 |
NEW
1 - 1
HUL
86%
9%
5%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1930 |
NEW
3 - 0
SUN
59%
20%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1930 |
NEW
3 - 5
SHE
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |