Burnley vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1928 |
BUR
2 - 1
SHE
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1928 |
BUR
3 - 3
WHU
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1928 |
CAR
7 - 0
BUR
44%
23%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1928 |
NEW
2 - 7
BUR
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1928 |
BUR
3 - 1
SUN
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1928 |
NEW
2 - 1
BCF
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1928 |
SHE
3 - 1
NEW
65%
19%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1928 |
NEW
2 - 7
BUR
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1928 |
NEW
1 - 1
CAR
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1928 |
NEW
3 - 1
WHU
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |