Burnley vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
BUR
5 - 4
WHU
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1925 |
BOL
5 - 0
BUR
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 4
TOT
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1925 |
CAR
4 - 0
BUR
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1925 |
WBA
1 - 4
BUR
63%
21%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1925 |
NEW
3 - 1
PNE
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
CAR
3 - 0
NEW
55%
25%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1925 |
NEW
2 - 0
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
LIV
1 - 1
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1925 |
BCF
0 - 0
NEW
45%
28%
28%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |